The AI Reckoning: One-Third of Australian Jobs at Risk and How Workers Can Adapt

by Jason Huang · April 17, 2025

The AI revolution isn’t coming—it’s already here, and it’s redrawing the boundaries of employment faster than most workers can adapt. As tech CEOs have warned, “AI is coming for every role,” the message is crystal clear: adapt immediately or face obsolescence. With Australia potentially losing one-third of its jobs to AI by 2030, according to recent modelling, the question isn’t whether your career will be affected, but how quickly you can transform alongside this technological tsunami.

Globally, AI adoption is reshaping workforce strategies dramatically. Recent statements from influential tech CEOs highlight a stark new reality: AI is becoming a fundamental expectation rather than a supplementary tool. Shopify CEO Tobi Lütke recently conveyed to his staff, “AI is now a fundamental expectation,” embedding it directly into employee performance evaluations.

Micha Kaufman, CEO of the freelance marketplace Fiverr, echoed a similar sentiment, emphasizing that “AI is coming for every role,” urging his employees to re-skill immediately or risk obsolescence.

This isn’t speculative alarmism but an ongoing, observable trend. Recent data reveals layoffs explicitly tied to AI automation reached a 20-month peak last August, underscoring the immediacy and impact of these technological shifts.

Tracking layoffs due to AI adoption isn’t so easy; no company is ever going to state that explicitly as a reason. Yet, it’s obvious to all of us. Two sites tracking tech layoffs paint a stark picture with TechCrunch reporting 150,000 layoffs in the US last year and 22,000 so far this year.

While Australia currently lags behind the U.S. in AI adoption, the trajectory is clear and accelerating. Analysts predict Australian industries will soon mirror the AI-driven changes observed in America, potentially leaving unprepared workers vulnerable.

As Australian businesses observe significant shifts already underway in the United States, questions inevitably arise: how soon, how profound, and how prepared should Australian workers be?

The message from U.S. tech leaders to Australian workers is clear: prepare now, engage with AI proactively, or risk being left behind. The transformation is inevitable, but whether it represents a threat or an opportunity is up to how swiftly and strategically Australian workplaces and employees respond.

How Bad is it?

SPG modelling indicates that Australia could experience widespread job losses across most economic sectors over the next five years. “If AI adoption continues at its current pace, approximately one-third (33.18%) of the workforce may face unemployment by 2030. However, if AI adoption slows, this figure could drop to around one in five workers (21.82%),” the report states.

Without immediate intervention, Australia is at risk of large-scale redundancies within the next five years, spreading from low-income jobs to high-income and high-skilled positions. The shock will lead to a reduction in demand as downshifts in labour dynamics reduce consumer spending. The ripple effect will be secondary job losses in larger enterprises and escalating failures in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

Social Policy Group

Changing Job Roles and the Reskilling Imperative

AI’s rapid deployment is changing the nature of many jobs, forcing workers to adapt. Rather than wholesale job elimination, many experts believe we are seeing a recombination of human and AI work. Tasks that can be automated are being peeled off, and the remaining tasks in a role become more important, often emphasising uniquely human skills like creativity, critical thinking, and interpersonal communication. A McKinsey analysis described this trend as AI augmenting workers; for example, a marketing analyst might spend less time crunching numbers (thanks to AI tools) and more time on strategy and client interaction. In other words, even when AI doesn’t fully replace a job, it reshapes the skill profile required.

Adapt and Overcome

Expert opinion overwhelmingly suggests that continuous learning will be a staple of working life in the AI era. As Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA so famously quipped, AI isn’t here to replace you, but someone who knows how to use it effectively might. The consensus is that workers, from junior staff to executives, will need to embrace lifelong learning.

Economists point out that past technological revolutions (from mechanisation to computers) ultimately created more jobs than they destroyed, but the workforce went through painful transitions. The AI revolution appears to be following a similar pattern, albeit at a faster pace.

SO, preparing for this new era and being seen as valuable may depend on your ability (or willingness) to learn new skills and embrace change. That may mean reskilling and the ability to pivot into new roles – say, an administrative assistant learning to become a data technician, or an assembly line worker shifting into a robot maintenance role.

This scenario was echoed when the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) began using AI chatbots to handle routine customer inquiries (balance checks, card issues, etc.). It was hinted that successful deployment could “replace thousands” of call centre jobs over time​. The bank was quick to clarify that it did not have plans for mass layoffs, and was instead retraining many customer service staff for higher-skilled roles, such as overseeing the AI systems and handling complex customer needs that the chatbot can’t resolve.

What does Lifelong Learning mean?

“The average half-life of skills is now less than five years, and in some tech fields it’s as low as two and a half years. For millions of workers, upskilling alone won’t be enough.”

Harvard Business Review

Given the rapid pace of technological change, lifelong learning is no longer optional; it is essential. Employees must proactively embrace continuous education and adaptability to maintain relevance in their fields. Employees who continually update their skill sets are more likely to stay competitive and relevant, especially as employers increasingly prefer adaptable, versatile employees.

What Lifelong Learning Might Look Like

1. Continuous Professional Development (CPD):

  • Regular participation in industry-specific training, workshops, and certification programs.
  • Keeping up-to-date with emerging industry trends, standards, and practices.

2. Microlearning and Short Courses:

  • Short, targeted learning modules available through platforms such as LinkedIn Learning, Coursera, or Udemy.
  • Efficiently updates specific skills without extensive downtime from work.

3. Formal Education and Credentials:

  • Periodically enrolling in formal degree or certification programs (including postgraduate studies) to acquire comprehensive new skills or specializations.
  • Employer-supported education programs that offer tuition reimbursement or sponsorship.

4. Digital Literacy and AI Fluency:

  • Actively engaging with emerging technologies, especially AI tools relevant to one’s industry.
  • Regularly upgrading digital skillsets to match evolving job requirements.

5. Learning Networks and Communities:

  • Participation in professional networks, conferences, webinars, and forums.
  • Engagement with peers and mentors for shared learning experiences and knowledge exchange.

6. Personalised Learning Plans:

  • Employees regularly assessing their own skills and identifying knowledge gaps.
  • Creating individualized learning roadmaps, incorporating both short- and long-term goals.

7. Organisational Learning Culture:

  • Employers fostering a workplace culture that encourages learning, experimentation, and innovation.
  • Integrating lifelong learning into performance evaluations and career progression pathways.

The coming years will separate the adaptable from the resistant, the lifelong learners from those clinging to outdated skills. This technological revolution, like those before it, will ultimately create more opportunities than it destroys—but only for those willing to evolve. The choice facing every Australian worker today is stark but simple: embrace continuous skill development and technological fluency as your career compass, or risk becoming another statistic in AI’s wake.

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